Polymarket market · Other

Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $56K into this market since Oct 4, 71% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
New-Sickness
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $16K
Tight-Roadway
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $5.0K $2.7K
Heavenly-Numismatist
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $7.3K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 29¢ $7.1K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 58¢ $5.7K —
Thunderous-Authorisation-Snarl
20 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 23¢ $2.6K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 68¢ $2.5K —
Frail-Formula
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 70¢ $2.0K —
0x4444…aa0a
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 70¢ $1.8K —
Wiggly-Radiosonde-Dynamite
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K
Edible-Gum
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 33¢ $1.1K —
Sharp-Preservation
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $1.0K —
Bouncy-Coalition
11 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 68¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $26K
    71% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $19K sold
  2. No
    $9.4K
    25% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. Yes
    $1.3K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 4 to Oct 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed