Tight-Roadway

0xee4b9d64e963c292e9e5fac189fcddfbc16cc2e4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tight-Roadway: +$5.3K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.3K
return +25.7%
Settled bets
12
$21K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 19%–68%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$5.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Down @ 79¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET $1.9K
Oct 6 SELL Down @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET $2.1K
Oct 6 SELL Up @ 95¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 78¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? $9.0K
Oct 5 SELL Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET $1.6K
Oct 5 SELL Down @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET $2.0K
Oct 5 SELL Yes @ 70¢
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? $2.7K
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 71¢
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed