Polymarket market · Other

Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $139K into this market since Oct 3, 66% of their buying on Under. Over won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$14K and 3 lost −$46K: −$32K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Squiggly-List
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $56K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 42¢ $30K — −$30K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 58¢ $13K — +$6.3K
Pristine-Hatred
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 42¢ $10K — −$10K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 58¢ $8.4K — +$6.1K
Feisty-Mention
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 42¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Disloyal-Angina
15 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 95¢ $2.0K $2.1K +$112
Deep-Shakedown-Explorer
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.4K —
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 58¢ $2.9K — +$37
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 58¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Sticky-Newsprint
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Thirsty-Detector
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Under lost
    $49K
    66% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.4K sold
  2. Over won
    $25K
    34% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $61K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed