Deep-Shakedown-Explorer

0x6686fdba6249b9c279191dd52d2ca3c3ec9603b6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Deep-Shakedown-Explorer: −$2.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.3K
return −23.7%
Settled bets
6
$9.6K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$115
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Belgium @ 59¢
Spread: France (-1.5)
Spread: France (-1.5) $3.2K
Oct 3 SELL Under @ 42¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5 $3.4K
Sep 20 BUY Over @ 45¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 $2.3K
Sep 19 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 $4.0K
Sep 19 BUY Over @ 53¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 $2.1K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? $5.0K
Sep 13 BUY Over @ 52¢
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 $2.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed