Polymarket market · Sports

Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Resolved: Tommy McMillen won · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales put $62K into this market since Sep 12, 83% of their buying on Tommy McMillen. Tommy McMillen won. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$15K and 5 lost −$7.8K: +$7.0K between them.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy McMillen @ 71¢ $19K — +$8.0K
Imperturbable-Trove
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy McMillen @ 99.9¢ $4.1K — +$4
Crooked-Building
11 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 84¢ $3.5K — +$673
Flawed-Trance
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy McMillen @ 71¢ $1.1K $2.3K —
Smooth-Bitten-Broiler
14 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 61¢ $3.0K — +$1.9K
Adolescent-Apse
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marwan Rahiki @ 40¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Soupy-Appropriation
6 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 61¢ $3.0K — +$2.0K
Idolized-Crest
3 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 96¢ $2.9K — +$106
Crowded-Acre
1 settled bets Too few bets
Marwan Rahiki @ 40¢ $1.3K $1.3K −$33
Previous-Sin
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marwan Rahiki @ 40¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Male-Radiosonde
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
0x1507…e175
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Violent-Skating
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Detailed-Banana
11 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 98¢ $1.5K — +$31
Palatable-Manatee-Whirlwind
5 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 79¢ $1.2K — +$331
Inconsequential-Meteorology
3 settled bets Too few bets
Marwan Rahiki @ 40¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Equal-Felony
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy McMillen @ 95¢ $1.1K — +$56
Unhealthy-Forelimb
9 settled bets Too few bets
Marwan Rahiki @ 40¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy McMillen @ 60¢ $1.0K — +$685
Wooden-Breath
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy McMillen @ 67¢ $1.0K — +$489
Black-Bondsman
5 settled bets Too few bets
Tommy McMillen @ 66¢ $1.0K — +$507

Where the whale money went

  1. Tommy McMillen won
    $44K
    83% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $5.9K sold
  2. Marwan Rahiki lost
    $9.1K
    17% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.3K sold
  3. Tommy McMillen lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed