Smooth-Bitten-Broiler

0x767a7964deeea63dddd0cba6db39503f328d8ac5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Smooth-Bitten-Broiler: −$694 on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 8%–48%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$694
return −8.1%
Settled bets
14
$8.6K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 8%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$756
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$61
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 SELL Los Angeles Angels @ 99.9¢
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels $2.0K
Sep 13 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds
O/U 1.5 Rounds $1.8K
Sep 12 BUY Tommy McMillen @ 61¢
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) $3.0K
Sep 9 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? $1.7K
Sep 9 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 49¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $1.5K
Sep 9 SELL Quentin Pasley @ 99.9¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Quentin Pasley vs. Arlind Berisha (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Dana White's Contender Series: Quentin Pasley vs. Arlind Berisha (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) $1.4K
Sep 8 BUY Toronto Blue Jays @ 55¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics $1.3K
Sep 8 BUY St. Louis Cardinals @ 39¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed