Polymarket market · Sports

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $166K into this market since Sep 12, 93% of their buying on Over. Over won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$155K and 5 lost −$12K: +$143K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $151K — +$152K
Fresh-Availability
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 51¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Lost-Hardboard
6 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 50¢ $3.0K — +$3.0K
Alienated-Drawer
25 settled bets Worse than the odds
Under @ 51¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Equal-Stealth
1 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 51¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 51¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Unhealthy-Peertopeer
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 52¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over won
    $154K
    93% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Under lost
    $12K
    7% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 12 to Sep 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed