Inconsequential-Meteorology

0xc0924abade09c672e8ff3e9d9e9c4704e86a0cd9

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Inconsequential-Meteorology: −$1.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −27.5%
Settled bets
3
$3.9K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.5K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Jai Herbert @ 37¢
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) $2.4K
Sep 22 BUY Piero Guaylupo @ 50¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card) $1.4K
Sep 19 BUY Ozzy Diaz @ 19¢
UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) $1.4K
Sep 12 BUY Marwan Rahiki @ 40¢
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) $1.1K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed