Any-Hermit
0x83720820a8aa6c3f20ad71850e7a1a17d16c5223
Any-Hermit: −$237K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 12%–55%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$237K
return −56.7%
Settled bets
14
$419K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 12%–55%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$48K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$282K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 |
England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | $3.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Bears
@ 66¢
Vikings vs. Bears |
Vikings vs. Bears | $30K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Bears
@ 50¢
Spread: Bears (-4.5) |
Spread: Bears (-4.5) | $12K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Bears
@ 66¢
Vikings vs. Bears |
Vikings vs. Bears | $100K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Under
@ 62¢
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5 |
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5 | $13K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Coventry City FC
@ 66¢
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) | $7.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Sevilla FC
@ 45¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $46K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Norwich City FC
@ 55¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) |
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | $48K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.