Dishonest-Refuse
0xa0dc7ee1f7a230a1a20163271717f8f8752b586c
Dishonest-Refuse: −$2.6K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 8% (95% range 2%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.6K
return −62.9%
Settled bets
12
$4.2K staked
Won
8.3%
95% range 2%–35%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- −$5
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- −$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7%
(2,280 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Yes
@ 45¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 17¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Alexandra Eala
@ 88¢
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala |
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala | $1.6K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Adolfo Vallejo
@ 99.9¢
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo |
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo | $2.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Adolfo Vallejo
@ 58¢
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo |
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Kyrian Jacquet
@ 99.9¢
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet |
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet | $1.1K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Ozan Baris
@ 99.9¢
San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov |
San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov | $1.2K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Tomas Farjat
@ 83¢
Buenos Aires 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Tomas Farjat |
Buenos Aires 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Tomas Farjat | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.