Polymarket market · Sports

Lyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet

Resolved: Kyrian Jacquet won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $85K on this market since Oct 20, 85% of their buying on Kyrian Jacquet. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 87% of the size there to buy. Kyrian Jacquet won, with 85% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$33K and 0 lost $0: +$33K between them. Biggest win: Meager-Flair-Wait, +$16K on Kyrian Jacquet.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Meager-Flair-Wait
83 settled bets Worse than the odds
Kyrian Jacquet @ 37¢ $10K $26K +$16K
Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kyrian Jacquet @ 66¢ $27K — +$1.8K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,295 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kyrian Jacquet @ 40¢ $7.6K — +$11K
Shallow-Team
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kyrian Jacquet @ 66¢ $6.6K — +$3.4K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.1K —
Unlined-Observation
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kyrian Jacquet @ 67¢ $1.6K — +$791
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,558 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kyrian Jacquet @ 66¢ $1.2K — +$624
Political-Casualty-Riding
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Kyrian Jacquet won
    $46K
    85% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $31K sold
  2. Matteo Berrettini lost
    $8.1K
    15% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792566006).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 $59K 4 Won: Over
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20? $285K 6 Won: No
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? $107K 10 Won: No
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 $64K 11 Won: Over
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? $195K 15 Won: Yes
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? $120K 19 Won: Yes
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 $78K 5 Won: Over
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) $79K 8 Won: Manchester City FC
About this data · run 1792566006, computed 2026-10-21 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792566006 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed