Quarrelsome-Cloak
Skill vs luck
Quarrelsome-Cloak on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Quarrelsome-Cloak: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0c787cc2962ee6464414da592b892c3886e077f1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Quarrelsome-Cloak: +$2.4K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- +$2.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | BUY Manchester City FC @ 52¢ | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) ↗ | $2.6K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?