Stark-Blackness
0x3968c3d8090406b6d4c6e29308331a9dc3292b0f
Stark-Blackness: −$4.8K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.8K
return −42.7%
Settled bets
3
$11K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$4.7K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$96
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | SELL Yes
@ 99.4¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | $15K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Yes
@ 99.4¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 67¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | $6.2K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | $5.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.