Prize-Intelligence

0x202b55f1fce57d15463c7691a66a2f03f62c7ed7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Prize-Intelligence: +$1.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +125.0%
Settled bets
2
$1.3K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 15¢
Will New People (NL) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will New People (NL) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? $1.3K
Sep 17 SELL No @ 35¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? $2.9K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed