Quarterly-Backpack
0x5c14eb6a6d5083c003daa8241ed559d2dc82cc49
Quarterly-Backpack: +$8.2K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 68%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$8.2K
return +13.7%
Settled bets
8
$60K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 68%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$8.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$35
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$74
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $5.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.71¢
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $20K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? |
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | $3.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 94¢
New pandemic in 2026? |
New pandemic in 2026? | $4.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? |
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | $6.6K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 99.59¢
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | $1.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.76¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | $5.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | $7.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.