Elegant-Chestnut
0x32bb3f0f842da76d3c3bba7d6d76376334733c1a
Elegant-Chestnut: +$13K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 64%–97%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +34.4%
Settled bets
16
$38K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 64%–97%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Jakub Mensik
@ 75¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Jakub Mensik
@ 75¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 89¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 85¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 85¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 85¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 86¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu | $3.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 96¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5 |
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5 | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.