Polymarket market · Sports
Packers vs. Lions
Resolved: Lions won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $194K on this market since Oct 21, 78% of their buying on Lions. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Lions won, with 78% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$74K and 7 lost −$42K: +$31K between them. Biggest win: Sparse-Handgun, +$51K on Lions. Biggest loss: Smart-Elbow, −$16K on Packers.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparse-Handgun
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lions @ 66¢ | $99K | — | +$51K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,096 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lions @ 75¢ | $34K | — | +$11K |
| Smart-Elbow
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Packers @ 34¢ | $16K | — | −$16K |
| Substantial-Service
1,055 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Packers @ 38¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Foolish-Mango
233 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lions @ 65¢ | $10K | — | +$5.5K |
| Dimpled-Cough
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Packers @ 39¢ | $5.1K | — | −$5.1K |
| Voluminous-Gang
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Packers @ 26¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Worthless-Dose
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lions @ 64¢ | $3.3K | — | +$1.9K |
| Flaky-Campaign
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lions @ 55¢ | $3.2K | — | +$2.6K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Packers @ 30¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| 0x4fdc…ca1f
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Packers @ 30¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Loud-Labour
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Lions @ 63¢ | $1.6K | — | +$925 |
| Scary-Fannypack
269 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Packers @ 36¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Far-Precipitation
119 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Lions @ 66¢ | $1.0K | — | +$528 |
Where the whale money went
-
Lions won$152K78% of whale buying · 7 buyers
-
Packers lost$42K22% of whale buying · 7 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Raiders | $65K | 12 | Won: Rams | |
| Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | $54K | 4 | Won: Clippers | |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | $242K | 38 | Won: Lakers | |
| Pacers vs. Nets | $173K | 26 | Won: Pacers | |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) | $126K | 10 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | $57K | 11 | Won: Thunder | |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | $309K | 31 | Won: Timberwolves | |
| Magic vs. Knicks | $160K | 20 | Won: Magic |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?