Loud-Labour
Skill vs luck
Loud-Labour on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$846. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Loud-Labour: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x03defd1a1cff15c05dcbbbcee7ba55c1dae74bfd. Data CC BY 4.0.
Loud-Labour: +$846 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$1.2K
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$350
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Patriots
@ 51¢
Spread: Bears (-5.5) |
Spread: Bears (-5.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Lions @ 63¢ | Packers vs. Lions ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 56¢
Spread: Packers (-4.5) |
Spread: Packers (-4.5) | $1.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?