Valuable-Animal

0x2b344112f63e69a2e411b0cb7f200cbc0051176e

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗

Valuable-Animal: +$26K on 83 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 48%–69%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).

Profit
+$26K
return +15.6%
Settled bets
83
$166K staked
Won
59.0%
95% range 48%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 83 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$19K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$6.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 52¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $2.0K
Oct 8 BUY Arkansas State @ 52¢
1H Spread: Arkansas State (-1.5)
1H Spread: Arkansas State (-1.5) $2.0K
Oct 8 BUY Stars @ 32¢
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
Spread: Stars (-1.5) $2.0K
Oct 8 BUY Cowboys @ 78¢
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5) $2.0K
Oct 7 BUY Under @ 53¢
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 157.5
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 157.5 $2.0K
Oct 7 BUY Golden State Valkyries @ 54¢
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries $2.0K
Oct 5 BUY Stars @ 62¢
Sharks vs. Stars
Sharks vs. Stars $2.0K
Oct 4 BUY Over @ 51¢
Cincinnati vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
Cincinnati vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed