These-Collectivisation

0x8c8ee3006f7eb8f3c0727f8b3df22f8d7528dda1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

These-Collectivisation: −$4.2K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.2K
return −67.3%
Settled bets
5
$6.2K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 14
−$4.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY Kings @ 38¢
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
Trail Blazers vs. Kings $1.4K
Oct 14 BUY Lakers @ 44¢
Warriors vs. Lakers
Warriors vs. Lakers $1.4K
Oct 12 BUY Nuggets @ 49¢
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) $1.2K
Oct 11 BUY Bucks @ 54¢
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
Spread: Hornets (-3.5) $1.1K
Oct 11 BUY Cavaliers @ 54¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) $1.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed