Discrete-Waffle-Exhibition

0x16dd0af332b1099e13841a72ba1850e87b4b8736

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Discrete-Waffle-Exhibition: +$2.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +17.8%
Settled bets
4
$11K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 15
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 15 BUY Pelicans @ 81¢
Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Pelicans vs. Mavericks $1.5K
Oct 15 BUY Pelicans @ 81¢
Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Pelicans vs. Mavericks $1.5K
Oct 15 BUY Pelicans @ 81¢
Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Pelicans vs. Mavericks $1.5K
Oct 14 BUY MIBR GC @ 77¢
Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs MIBR GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Group Stage
Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs MIBR GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Group Stage $1.4K
Oct 14 BUY Lakers @ 79¢
Warriors vs. Lakers
Warriors vs. Lakers $1.0K
Oct 14 BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 89¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $1.1K
Oct 14 BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 91¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $1.4K
Oct 14 BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 58¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed