French-Battalion-Spasm
0x93683d55f0ea67212bc179e9802f00e271c9f390
French-Battalion-Spasm: −$28K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$28K
return −44.2%
Settled bets
6
$64K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 25 – Oct 14
- −$28K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7%
(2,280 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | BUY Lakers
@ 44¢
Warriors vs. Lakers |
Warriors vs. Lakers | $27K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Spurs
@ 48¢
Spread: Jazz (-4.5) |
Spread: Jazz (-4.5) | $19K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Bucks
@ 52¢
Spread: Hornets (-3.5) |
Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Cavaliers
@ 50¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) |
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | $10K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Suns
@ 29¢
Spurs vs. Suns |
Spurs vs. Suns | $2.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Heat
@ 51¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5) |
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5) | $4.3K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.