0xa10e…2348
Skill vs luck
0xa10e…2348 on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xa10e…2348: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa10ecdb6d473d5a6e0caecca07b85f9361192348. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xa10e…2348: −$1.4K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | SELL Tampa Bay Rays @ 94¢ | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians ↗ | $1.3K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?