Cheap-Lark-Outfit

0x3aee3b88d075cef6cb6836df6d1fa6f7a3454cf6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Cheap-Lark-Outfit: −$1.6K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.6K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 2 – Oct 17
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,007 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 16 BUY Coastal Carolina @ 48¢ Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina ↗ $1.6K
Oct 16 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 50¢ Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians ↗ $1.8K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed