Vigilant-Moai
0xd47dda34a3f41f39e5d3c1c98260a0dd7c0a322b
Vigilant-Moai: −$149 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$149
return −1.7%
Settled bets
5
$8.6K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.4K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$2.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 65¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $2.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Pittsburgh Pirates
@ 60¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 46¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Philadelphia Phillies
@ 44¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | $2.2K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Pittsburgh Pirates
@ 64¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $1.6K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.