Nervous-Database
0x306139d0268a09c3fb267d7d04461eeabe72dd00
Nervous-Database: +$22K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$22K
return +85.3%
Settled bets
5
$26K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$23K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$987
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Chicago White Sox
@ 50¢
Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals |
Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | $2.0K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Baltimore Orioles
@ 89¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays | $2.1K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Baltimore Orioles
@ 45¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays | $1.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Tampa Bay Rays
@ 49¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | $14K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Saitama Seibu Lions
@ 52¢
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lions |
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | $7.6K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Hanshin Tigers
@ 46¢
Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers |
Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers | $1.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.