Different-Subgroup-Savings
0xf184bff6a9217f1a76dcba7c0c4888351ebbc2d7
Different-Subgroup-Savings: +$23K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 55%–95%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).
Profit
+$23K
return +51.2%
Settled bets
12
$45K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 55%–95%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$33
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$16K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$7.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 60¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $7.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team WE
@ 78¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 54¢
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 46¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | $4.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 60¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | $6.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 51¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $4.2K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Bilibili Gaming
@ 77¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $7.7K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 66¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.