Polymarket market · Other

LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

27 whales put $86K into this market since Sep 7, 47% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$9.2K and 11 lost −$32K: −$23K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 27
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wobbly-Pants
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $10K —
Parallel-Steamroller
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 68¢ $5.9K $2.9K +$2.0K
Quizzical-Hire
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 78¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Yellow-Dress-Ballet
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $6.0K — +$4.1K
Opulent-Right
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $5.2K — +$936
Self-Reliant-Distribution
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Jaded-Display
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 96¢ $3.8K — +$155
Carefree-Sauerkraut
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 30¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Unwitting-Degradation-Attendant
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 30¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Jumpy-Recollection
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 29¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Terrible-Gynaecology
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 86¢ $1.0K $1.9K —
Appropriate-Advocate
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 34¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Frivolous-Fiction
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Tough-Mother
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Energetic-Producer
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 60¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 28¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Yawning-Arithmetic
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $2.0K — +$228
Legitimate-Trial
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 29¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Hurtful-Shoreline
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 38¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Worthless-Karate
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 31¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Favorable-Explorer
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $1.5K — +$62
Right-Plover
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 34¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Frightened-Swordfish
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Hideous-Slump
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 77¢ $1.3K — +$379
Curvy-Tic
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $29K
    47% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $21K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $26K
    43% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $3.7K sold
  3. No lost
    $6.1K
    10% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Sep 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed