Polymarket market · Other

LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $71K into this market since Sep 8, 85% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$5.6K and 4 lost −$8.4K: −$2.8K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Courteous-Fort
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.78¢ $27K — +$59
Sore-Axis
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $14K — +$3.1K
Opulent-Right
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 61¢ $6.6K — +$1.6K
Jaded-Display
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.1K —
Happy-Default
115 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 98¢ $3.7K — +$85
Distant-Inhibitor
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 53¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Private-Patrolling
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $2.4K — +$126
Yellow-Dress-Ballet
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 30¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Firsthand-Mixer
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 56¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Colorless-Compulsion
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $1.2K — +$508
Yawning-Arithmetic
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 50¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Sandy-Notice
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $1.1K — +$86

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $54K
    85% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $5.1K sold
  2. No lost
    $9.9K
    15% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Sep 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed