Parallel-Steamroller
0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
Parallel-Steamroller: −$5.4K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.4K
return −29.5%
Settled bets
4
$18K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$5.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 25¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 66¢
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | $14K |
| Sep 25 | SELL No
@ 42¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | $1.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 36¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | $2.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $31K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? |
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | $1.0K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 20¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | $4.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.