Legitimate-Trial
0xe87f99db88da7a2e1b1b81cc71685a243b99f8e7
Legitimate-Trial: −$226 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$226
return −5.7%
Settled bets
2
$4.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$226
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | $2.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 31¢
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $1.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 28¢
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.