Carefree-Sauerkraut
0x6e131d6c61216b4a5ec571db332ad3226e7fa801
Carefree-Sauerkraut: −$1.9K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.9K
return −2.7%
Settled bets
6
$72K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$9.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$7.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $20K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 47¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.1K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 30¢
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $3.7K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 43¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $4.5K |
| Aug 27 | BUY MOUZ
@ 51¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner | $17K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 33¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | $7.7K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Iron Wing
@ 41¢
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $14K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 34¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | $4.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.