Polymarket market · Other

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $107K on this market since Oct 24, 69% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 69% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$3.2K and 2 lost −$7.0K: −$3.7K between them. Biggest win: Fortunate-Plagiarism, +$2.9K on Yes. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Revenue, −$4.8K on No.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Proper-Infancy-Text
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 95¢ $14K $72K —
Spiffy-Revenue
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Miserable-Poison
1,324 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 69¢ $3.3K — +$235
Scornful-West
214 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Villainous-Boat
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 94¢ $1.4K $1.5K +$84
Fortunate-Plagiarism
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 48¢ $2.7K — +$2.9K
Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 4¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Repentant-Dahlia
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $20K
    69% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $74K sold
  2. No lost
    $8.7K
    31% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $5.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? $66K 12 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? $90K 23 Open
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5) $174K 7 Won: RC Deportivo A Coruña
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? $521K 58 Open
Spread: Ohio (-10.5) $81K 5 Settled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $736K 78 Open
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $96K 26 Open
West Virginia vs. TCU $71K 7 Won: West Virginia
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed