Villainous-Boat
Skill vs luck
Villainous-Boat on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$43. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Villainous-Boat: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7b19a0a5548155911fe3a5fbb7cc90e9c15bc813. Data CC BY 4.0.
Villainous-Boat: +$43 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$43
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 97¢ | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24? | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes
@ 90¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24? | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 94¢ | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $1.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?