Polymarket market · Other

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 23, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$1.7K and 0 lost $0: +$1.7K between them. Biggest win: Dental-Liquid, +$525 on Yes.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Dental-Liquid
53 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 95¢ $11K $1.7K +$525
Prime-Basis
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99¢ $10K — +$109
Pleasant-Editing
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 95¢ $6.4K — +$365
Bleak-Full
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 97¢ $4.1K $2.1K +$95
Sardonic-Lentil
57 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 97¢ $6.0K — +$185
Capital-Kiwi
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.2K —
Accurate-Spirit
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $2.1K — +$311
Present-Mascara
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 94¢ $1.9K — +$129
Personal-Bake
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $41K
    100% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $10K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30? $473K 52 Won: Yes
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? $207K 41 Open
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30? $96K 5 Won: Yes
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 $60K 3 Won: Over
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs $379K 54 Won: FURIA
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $100K 19 Open
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5) $58K 4 Won: Paris Saint-Germain FC
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner $61K 21 Won: MOUZ
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed