Pleasant-Editing
Skill vs luck
Pleasant-Editing on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$8.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Pleasant-Editing: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8e618e5791398296c0979dab13f9172847eacfa3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Pleasant-Editing: −$8.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$215
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$8.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Yes @ 95¢ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? ↗ | $6.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 82¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $8.7K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes @ 91¢ | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | $8.7K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.