Polymarket market · Sports

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $100K into this market since Sep 11, 57% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$38K and 8 lost −$40K: −$2.2K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ragged-Aspect-Earring
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $51K — +$38K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $20K — −$20K
Creative-Midwife
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $9.9K — −$9.9K
Spicy-Dueling
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $2.9K — +$3
Distinct-Case
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $1.0K $1.1K —
Black-And-White-Solitaire
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Enchanted-Foal
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
0x0f00…73ce
39 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 45¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
0x3be2…91a0
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 44¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Handmade-Inventory
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Intentional-Panda-Pancreas
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 41¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 34¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $54K
    57% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.7K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $41K
    43% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $3.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed