0x0f00…73ce

0x0f003f00e53f0dbb063e14b4da093ac8e3f473ce

Polymarket

Worse than the odds Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x0f00…73ce: −$83K on 39 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 11%–36%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.

Profit
−$83K
return −57.4%
Settled bets
39
$145K staked
Won
20.5%
95% range 11%–36%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 39 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$55K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$29K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 48¢
Moreirense FC vs. CS Marítimo: Draw at halftime?
Moreirense FC vs. CS Marítimo: Draw at halftime? $1.9K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 41¢
Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Draw at halftime?
Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Draw at halftime? $2.0K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 21¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14? $1.0K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14? $5.0K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 31¢
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? $1.5K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 34¢
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-09-13?
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-09-13? $3.5K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 29¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score $2.0K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 36¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-13?
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-13? $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed