Polymarket market · Sports

Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $54K into this market since Sep 12, 77% of their buying on Under. Over won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$11K and 4 lost −$41K: −$30K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 73¢ $15K — −$15K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 74¢ $12K — −$12K
Black-And-White-Solitaire
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 60¢ $11K — −$11K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 49¢ $9.0K — +$9.3K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 69¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Excellent-Cub
7 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 99.9¢ $2.0K — +$2
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K
Valuable-Span-Casket
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Under lost
    $41K
    77% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Over won
    $12K
    23% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? $100K 13 Won: No
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? $54K 10 Won: No
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? $291K 46 Won: No
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? $170K 24 Won: No
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12? $75K 13 Won: No
Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? $83K 16 Won: Yes
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $96K 14 Won: Titouan Droguet
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score $69K 4 Won: No
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed