Popular-Breath
0x6b67037dc9a8d1f6f7b34c562181675743f91169
Popular-Breath: −$2.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.5K
return −28.0%
Settled bets
5
$9.0K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$290
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$615
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Arsenal FC
@ 43¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Arsenal FC
@ 42¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | $1.7K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Yes
@ 6¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | $1.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 28¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 36¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 20¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.