Yellow-Daughter
Skill vs luck
Yellow-Daughter on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 56% (95% range 27%–81%) · profit +$8.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Yellow-Daughter: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x77d9009e5e22d8b7187530c862dd058949b906ed. Data CC BY 4.0.
Yellow-Daughter: +$8.9K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$8.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | SELL Astra Invicta
@ 57¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 23 | BUY GamerLegion @ 58¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 23 | BUY GamerLegion @ 85¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 23 | BUY GamerLegion @ 41¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Nemiga Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: salamit vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: salamit vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 23 | BUY OG @ 67¢ | Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY OG @ 49¢ | Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Team Liquid @ 52¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?