Wrong-Octet-Bed
Skill vs luck
Wrong-Octet-Bed on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 30%–90%) · profit +$1.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wrong-Octet-Bed: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9552db9b30e120d4ae8308108f41366b1a59dff7. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wrong-Octet-Bed: +$1.9K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$1.9K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$64
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY LEGION @ 50¢ | Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Team Spirit @ 39¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming @ 48¢ | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY GamerLegion @ 54¢ | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming @ 65¢ | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY GamerLegion @ 45¢ | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?