Polymarket market · Other
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India
Resolved: India won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 21, 74% of their buying on New Zealand. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 2.5¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. India won, with 26% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$671 and 3 lost −$35K: −$35K between them. Biggest win: Celebrated-Executor, +$352 on India. Biggest loss: Private-Faithful, −$33K on New Zealand.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private-Faithful
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
New Zealand @ 74¢ | $33K | — | −$33K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
India @ 84¢ | $2.1K | $4.8K | — |
| Plump-Therapy
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
India @ 57¢ | $3.9K | $2.6K | −$1.4K |
| Innocent-Classmate
44 settled bets Worse than the odds |
India @ 72¢ | $3.9K | — | −$1.0K |
| Thorny-Flock
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Dimpled-Fishbone
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| 0x3801…7013
19 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Cloudy-Drag
1 settled bets Too few bets |
India @ 99¢ | $1.5K | — | +$15 |
| Ecstatic-Controller
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Ironclad-Instructor
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
India @ 82¢ | $1.4K | — | +$304 |
| Celebrated-Executor
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
India @ 79¢ | $1.3K | — | +$352 |
Where the whale money went
-
New Zealand lost$35K74% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.4K sold
-
India won$12K26% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $13K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | $115K | 25 | Open | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | $91K | 6 | Open | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | $95K | 14 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | $52K | 9 | Open | |
| PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 1.5 | $89K | 4 | Won: Under | |
| PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 0.5 | $55K | 3 | Settled | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $1.14M | 121 | Open | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | $71K | 16 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?