Cloudy-Drag
Skill vs luck
Cloudy-Drag on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$15. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cloudy-Drag: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xea48031db1c58b739e339710a031fd6a25e7f0ff. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cloudy-Drag: +$15 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$15
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY India @ 99¢ | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India ↗ | $1.5K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?