Plump-Therapy
0x8488ef25f79c0cf2ffdff307973b2ac10464588c
Plump-Therapy: −$11K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 49%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −14.0%
Settled bets
23
$77K staked
Won
69.6%
95% range 49%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$7.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$19K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$657
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Disguised
@ 87¢
LoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs |
LoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team WE
@ 88¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team WE
@ 73¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team WE
@ 75¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY India
@ 80¢
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India |
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Pakistan
@ 60¢
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs Bangladesh |
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs Bangladesh | $1.2K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Afghanistan
@ 67¢
Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal |
Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal | $1.8K |
| Sep 24 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 73¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.