Polymarket market · Other

PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 1.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales traded $89K on this market since Oct 22, 94% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 4.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 94% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$23K and 1 lost −$2.5K: +$20K between them. Biggest win: Prickly-Clasp-Discount, +$18K on Under. Biggest loss: Scary-Edible, −$2.5K on Over.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
964 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 89¢ $58K — +$4.5K
Prickly-Clasp-Discount
290 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 60¢ $26K — +$18K
Scary-Edible
1,542 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 40¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 72¢ $2.4K — +$943

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $84K
    94% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Under lost
    $2.6K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Over lost
    $2.5K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792825211).

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed