Innocent-Classmate
0xa4b7b1814b0da33f2b61be4939976898aa476008
Innocent-Classmate: −$69K on 31 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 32%–65%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$69K
return −35.9%
Settled bets
31
$193K staked
Won
48.4%
95% range 32%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$36K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$36K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY West Indies Champions
@ 95¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions | $11K |
| Oct 9 | BUY West Indies Champions
@ 95¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions | $10K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Bangladesh Champions
@ 59¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Bangladesh Champions
@ 52¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY India
@ 85¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies |
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Bangladesh Champions
@ 50¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions | $8.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Bangladesh Champions
@ 50¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Champions | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Australia Champions
@ 50¢
World Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs South Africa Champions |
World Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs South Africa Champions | $8.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.