Private-Faithful
0x6e021a82c12e01886444ab3e918114faaf11d70a
Private-Faithful: −$11K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 21%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −18.8%
Settled bets
14
$61K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 21%–67%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$12K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | BUY West Indies
@ 65¢
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies |
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | $2.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY West Indies
@ 65¢
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies |
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Australia
@ 58¢
Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia |
Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia | $2.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY England
@ 69¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka |
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | $6.9K |
| Sep 24 | BUY England
@ 68¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka |
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Sri Lanka
@ 30¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka |
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | $2.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Sri Lanka
@ 30¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka |
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | $3.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY England
@ 85¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka |
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.