Adorable-Base-Investigator
0x3f76ada555994ed574a846123175c437834c436a
Adorable-Base-Investigator: −$30K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$30K
return −59.5%
Settled bets
5
$50K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$30K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Washington State
@ 43¢
Arizona vs. Washington State |
Arizona vs. Washington State | $5.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Ole Miss
@ 38¢
Ole Miss vs. Florida |
Ole Miss vs. Florida | $20K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Wake Forest
@ 49¢
Wake Forest vs. Louisville |
Wake Forest vs. Louisville | $9.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY San Diego State
@ 52¢
San Diego State vs. Toledo |
San Diego State vs. Toledo | $9.9K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Temple
@ 38¢
Army vs. Temple |
Army vs. Temple | $5.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.