Polymarket market · Other

Spread: Utah (-6.5)

Resolved: Utah won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $146K on this market since Oct 23, 64% of their buying on Houston. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Utah won, with 36% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$48K and 5 lost −$94K: −$45K between them. Biggest win: Grotesque-Answer, +$31K on Utah. Biggest loss: Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir, −$62K on Houston.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston @ 49¢ $62K — −$62K
Grotesque-Answer
68 settled bets Beat the odds*
Utah @ 53¢ $35K — +$31K
Unaware-Pipe
8 settled bets Too few bets
Houston @ 50¢ $18K — −$18K
Indelible-Try
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Utah @ 51¢ $9.0K — +$8.6K
Flaky-Campaign
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston @ 49¢ $7.7K — −$7.7K
Foolish-Mezzanine
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Utah @ 51¢ $5.0K — +$4.8K
Hateful-Chord
198 settled bets Beat the odds*
Houston @ 48¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Nutty-Dwelling-Basics
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Utah @ 51¢ $2.8K — +$2.7K
Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston @ 48¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Utah @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Houston lost
    $94K
    64% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Utah won
    $53K
    36% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Houston vs. Utah $125K 17 Won: Utah
Houston vs. Utah: O/U 57.5 $129K 9 Won: Under
Virginia Tech vs. Clemson $111K 7 Won: Virginia Tech
Syracuse vs. North Carolina $231K 9 Won: Syracuse
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $690K 82 Open
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $357K 85 Open
Ole Miss vs. Texas $552K 29 Won: Texas
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? $287K 61 Open
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed